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Kalender Ereignisansicht

Veranstaltungsreihe: "Forschung im Fokus": Mission improbable. Statistische Analyse extremer Ereignisse

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Vortrag von Prof. Dr. Axel BĘ╣cher (Institut fĘ╣r Mathematik, HHU): Mission improbable. Statistische Analyse extremer Ereignisse

Ob Hochwasser, B?rsencrashs oder Hitzewellen: extreme Ereignisse k?nnen einen gro?en Einfluss auf unser gesellschaftliches Zusammenleben haben. Eine ad?quate statistische Analyse ist daher gleichzeitig sehr wichtig, aber auf Grund der relativen Seltenheit solcher Ereignisse auch sehr schwierig. FĘ╣r die Bew?ltigung der auftretenden Herausforderungen hat sich mit der sogenannten Extremwertstatistik ein eigener Forschungszweig gebildet. Diese hat ihren Ursprung in einer mathematischen Gesetzm??igkeit des Zufalls, welche heute als Satz von Fisher-Tippett-Gnedenko bekannt ist. Im Vortrag wird aufgezeigt, wie von diesem Satz ausgehend statistische Modelle und Methoden entwickelt wurden und was diese von der klassischen Statistik unterscheidet. 

 

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08.04.2021, 19:00 Uhr - 20:15 Uhr
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